Bill Belichick's ill-fated gamble on fourth and two at his own 28 that cost his team its' game with Indianapolis, reminds me of what Pete Carroll did in the national championship game against Texas in 2006 at the Rose Bowl. Both were attempts to put the opponent away that backfired. If you remember, USC had the lead and the ball on the Texas 45, fourth and two with the game on the line with just a couple of minutes left. If USC makes the first down the game is over. If they don't, Vince Young gets the ball back, and he's so dominant, Texas is virtually guaranteed a scoring opportunity. So Cal's LenDale White got the carry and was stopped one yard short. Texas got the ball back down 38-33, and took it down the field with Young scoring the game winning touchdown on fourth and five from the USC eight as Texas won maybe the best national championship game of all time. Young won the game single-handedly.
I understood Carroll's strategy. He thought Young could score from anywhere, so try to put the game away. It didn't work and he was second guessed. But he plays to win, and so does Belichick.
Still Belichick's call was puzzling. His rationale was the same as Carroll's, but a lot riskier. If you give Peyton Manning the ball on your 28, you're asking for trouble.]
The Pats didn't get it and Peyton did what he always does: he got his team in the end zone with 13 seconds left and ruined the Pats' chance at the home field advantage and made Indy's road to the home field look very promising.
Belichick is a supremely confident guy; many say he's arrogant. And this time, it came back to haunt him.